Economy-wide GHG Reduction (Unconditional)
Reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 32% below the business-as-usual scenario by 2030. This is Kenya's unconditional contribution under the Paris Agreement, achievable through domestic resources and existing policy commitments.
Base Value (2015)
73 MtCO2e
Current Value
118.3 MtCO2e
Target Value (2030)
97.2 MtCO2e
Progress
54%
Gap
21.1
21.1 MtCO2e remaining
Progress Trajectory
Tracking 2015-2030
Progress trajectory chart
Actual values vs. expected milestone path to 2030
Milestones
3 of 6 reached| Year | Expected | Actual | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 125 MtCO2e | 128 MtCO2e | At Risk |
| 2022 | 122 MtCO2e | 123.5 MtCO2e | At Risk |
| 2024 | 115 MtCO2e | 118.3 MtCO2e | At Risk |
| 2026 | 110 MtCO2e | -- | Pending |
| 2028 | 103 MtCO2e | -- | Pending |
| 2030 | 97.2 MtCO2e | -- | Pending |
Historical Progress Records
2015
National GHG Inventory
73 MtCO2e
Verified2017
National GHG Inventory
80 MtCO2e
Verified2019
National Communication
95 MtCO2e
Verified2020
BUR-3
128 MtCO2e
Verified2022
National GHG Inventory
123.5 MtCO2e
Verified2024
BTR-1 (Draft)
118.3 MtCO2e
UnverifiedContributing Policies
National Climate Change Action Plan (NCCAP)
ActiveKenya National Energy Policy 2018
ActiveForest Conservation & Management Act
ActiveFeed-in Tariff Policy (Solar/Wind)
ActiveNational Transport Policy
Under ReviewMethodology & Data Sources
Methodology
GHG inventory using 2006 IPCC Guidelines with country-specific emission factors. BAU baseline established from 2015 national inventory with projected growth rates across all sectors.
Data Sources
- Kenya National GHG Inventory (2015-2024)
- Kenya Meteorological Department
- Energy Regulatory Commission
- Kenya Forest Service
- UNFCCC National Communication reports