Impact Analysis
Assess the effectiveness and co-benefits of NDC policy measures
Direct Emission Reductions
5.2 MtCO2eq/yr
18.2% of total NDC mitigation target
Co-Benefits
45,000
Jobs created / supported
Reduced indoor air pollution
Health impact
Diversified energy mix
Energy security
Cost-Effectiveness
$12 /tCO2eq
Highly cost-effective - among the lowest-cost abatement options
Impact Timeline
Expected vs actual emission reductions over time
| Year | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected (MtCO2eq) | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 5 | 5.2 |
| Actual (MtCO2eq) | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 3.8 | 4.7 | -- |
| Variance | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -- |
Aggregate Impact by Sector
Total emission reductions from all policies per sector
Policy Interactions
Synergies and conflicts between policy measures
Feed-in tariffs directly support the renewable energy targets set in the National Energy Policy, creating a mutually reinforcing policy framework.
Agroforestry practices supported by CSA strategy complement forest conservation by reducing pressure on natural forests.
Clean cooking transitions reduce biomass demand, supporting forest conservation while achieving energy sector targets.
Potential double counting risk if EV carbon credits are also counted toward transport sector NDC targets without proper accounting.
MRV Linkage
How the impact of "National Energy Policy (2018)" is measured, reported, and verified
Measurement Methodology
Grid emission factor tracking, renewable capacity monitoring, annual energy balance surveys