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Economy-wide GHG Reduction (Conditional)

Achieve an additional 10% reduction beyond the unconditional target (total 42% below BAU) by 2030. Conditional on international support including finance, technology transfer, and capacity building.

At RiskAbsoluteConditionalEconomy-wide

Base Value (2015)

73 MtCO2e

Current Value

118.3 MtCO2e

Target Value (2030)

82.9 MtCO2e

Progress

31%

Gap

35.4

35.4 MtCO2e remaining

Progress Trajectory

Tracking 2015-2030

Time Series

Progress trajectory chart

Actual values vs. expected milestone path to 2030

Milestones

3 of 6 reached
YearExpectedActualStatus
2020120 MtCO2e128 MtCO2eOff Track
2022113 MtCO2e123.5 MtCO2eOff Track
2024105 MtCO2e118.3 MtCO2eOff Track
202697 MtCO2e--Pending
202890 MtCO2e--Pending
203082.9 MtCO2e--Pending

Historical Progress Records

2015

National GHG Inventory

73 MtCO2e

Verified

2020

BUR-3

128 MtCO2e

Verified

2022

National GHG Inventory

123.5 MtCO2e

Verified

2024

BTR-1 (Draft)

118.3 MtCO2e

Unverified

Contributing Policies

National Climate Change Action Plan (NCCAP)

Active
Contribution25%

GCF Readiness Program

Active
Contribution20%

Carbon Pricing Initiative

Planned
Contribution30%

Enhanced Forest Restoration Program

Planned
Contribution25%

Methodology & Data Sources

Methodology

Same as unconditional target. Additional reductions dependent on secured international climate finance and technology transfer.

Data Sources

  • Kenya National GHG Inventory (2015-2024)
  • Green Climate Fund (GCF) Project Pipeline
  • UNFCCC Financial Mechanism reports

Target Summary

Base Year2015
Target Year2030
TypeAbsolute
ConditionalityConditional
SectorEconomy-wide
UnitMtCO2e